Cattle trade has remained strong following
aggressive triple digit support which flooded into the complex Monday
morning. Even though gains have pulled significantly away from morning
highs, prices are still holding onto sharp gains at midday in most live
cattle and feeder cattle contracts. Lean hog contracts are steady to
mostly higher in light trade. Corn prices are higher in light trade. May
corn futures are 6 cents higher. Stock markets are higher in light
trade. The Dow Jones is 41 points higher while Nasdaq is up 9 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Despite backing away from strong triple-digit
gains through morning trade, live cattle futures continue to move
aggressively higher as traders focus on continued strong market support.
The ability to draw commercial buyer support back into the complex
during the month of April is setting up additional support, which could
bring increased support to both cash markets and beef values through the
end of the month. As April contracts hover near $121 per cwt, the
overall tone of the market remains bullish even though trade volume
through the entire week is expected to remain sluggish during the entire
week. Cash markets are quiet following the light trade seen last week
that developed late in the week at lower money. Cash cattle ended steady
to $2 per cwt lower in the South and $2 to $4 per cwt lower in the
North while overall movement remained underwhelming to say the least.
Show lists are larger early Monday, which is no surprise given the light
trade last week. Bids and asking prices are undeveloped and likely to
remain quiet until midweek. Beef cut-outs at midday are mixed, $1.62
lower (select) and up $0.13 per cwt (choice) with light movement of 58
total loads reported (36 loads of choice cuts, 12 loads of select cuts, 4
loads of trimmings, 5 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
Triple-digit gains continue to hold across
feeder cattle futures although traders are pulling back from the
aggressive $2 per cwt gains seen in the complex. This support is seen in
the market as traders are looking for follow through support in spring
and summer contracts as April contracts have moved back above $135 per
cwt.
LEAN HOGS:
Lean hog futures have regained composure at
midday with prices steady to slightly higher with the support in the
cattle complex helping to draw buyer support back into the market. The
underlying support across deferred contracts continue to build support
in fall and winter contract months but are unable to bring unified buyer
activity back to the table through the Monday trading session. This
could spark some additional interest late in the day, but price ranges
are likely to be narrow through the rest of the session. Cash prices are
lower at midday on the National Direct morning cash hog report. The
weighted average price fell $1.62 at $56.56 per cwt with the range from
$54.00 to $58.50 on 2,907 head reported sold. Cash prices are lower on
the Iowa Minnesota Direct morning cash hog report. The weighted average
price fell $1.83 at $56.89 per cwt with the range from $54.00 to $57.50
on 243 head reported sold. The National Pork Plant Report reported 123
loads selling with prices adding $1.57 per cwt. Lean hog index for 4/6
is at $65.73 down $0.43 with a projected two-day index of $65.12 down
$0.61.
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