GENERAL COMMENTS
The cash cattle trade was very quiet Friday with
buyers and sellers apparently content with the business conducted on
Wednesday and Thursday. The National hog base closed up $0.17 compared
with the Prior Day settlement ($66.00-$71.00, weighted average $69.73).
From Friday-to-Friday livestock futures scored the following changes:
Jun LC Off $3.13; Aug LC up $0.60; May FC Up $0.78; Aug FC Off $1.60;
Jun LH Up $1.63; Jul LH Up $1.78. Corn futures closed one to two cents
higher in light trade volume. The stock market closed mixed with the Dow
off 22 points and the NASDAQ up 5.
LIVE CATTLE
Futures closed significantly higher, up 125-260.
Contracts gapped higher on the opening thanks to news of the
long-awaited agreement between the U.S. and China. Although there are
many details to be worked out, China has agreed to accept under certain
conditions U.S. product no later than July 16. Note that spot June
managed to close the week well above 50% retracement of the steep rally
seen between late April and early May. Beef cut-outs: Higher on Choice
and lower on Select (Choice, $247.69 up $0.83, Select $225.51 off $1.15)
on light to moderate demand and light offerings (30 loads of choice
cuts, 23 loads of select cuts, 06 loads of trimmings, 12 loads of coarse
grinds).
MONDAY'S CASH CATTLE CALL:
Steady. Monday's activity will be limited to the
distribution of new showlists. Assuming that futures will be supported
by carry-over buying next week, feedlot managers will probably be
pricing ready cattle several dollars higher.
FEEDER CATTLE
Futures closed sharply higher, up 217-450. Note
that August through November managed to close up the full 450-point
limit. Like their live counterparts, feeders were inspired by news of
Chinese beef potential and longer-term cattle/beef demand in general.
CME cash feeder index: 05/11: $143.48, off $2.02.
LEAN HOGS
Futures closed mostly higher, up 152 to off 12.
Summer futures gained on the far deferreds thanks to late week
bull-spreading and technical buying. Note that spot May expired at
71.90, up 37. New-spot June will take the point on Monday nearly
700-points premium to the cash index. Pork cut-out: $83.29 (FOB Plant)
up $1.44. CME cash lean 05/10: $69.12, up $1.48 (DTN Projected lean
index for 05/11: $70.63, up $1.51).
MONDAY'S CASH HOG CALL
Steady to $1.00 higher. Look for cash hog buyers
to resume business on Monday with steady/firm bids, anticipating both
tightening supplies and improving product demand.
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