GENERAL COMMENTS
As
of this writing, the last-minute cash cattle trade still looks very
limited. Light-to-moderate trade volume has been reported in parts of
Nebraska and Iowa (i.e., $166-$166.50 dressed/$106 live), but the lion's
share of trading still waits to be born. Most showlists continue to be
priced around $108 in the South and $170 in the North. According to the
closing report, the national hog base is $0.80 lower ($49-$54, weighted
average $52.95). The corn market finished fractionally higher in light
volume. Closing at record levels, the Dow settled at 22,267, up 64
points. The Nasdaq advanced to 6,448, better by 19.
LIVE CATTLE
Live
futures were all over the place through a choppy session as traders
strained to hear reports of cash news. Although not much ever came in
that regard, futures ultimately moved higher, closing mostly 50 to 105
points higher thanks to late short-covering and some level of cash
optimism. Deferred contracts consistently gained on spot October through
the week. Indeed, April 2018 will start out on Monday from its highest
perch since July 19. Beef cut-outs: mixed, up $0.42 (choice, $191.42) to
off $0.87 (select, $185.85) with light-to-moderate demand and offerings
(59 loads of choice cuts, 22 loads of select cuts, 16 loads of
trimmings, 19 loads of ground beef).
MONDAY'S CASH CATTLE CALL:
Steady/firm.
Calling a trend for next week is tough given that cash on Friday
remains on the dark side. Yet activity on Monday will be limited to the
distribution of new showlists. At this time, our guess is that the
mid-month offering could be somewhat larger, padded by a certain number
of unsold steers and heifers carried over.
FEEDER CATTLE:
Feeders
experienced the same herky-jerky action as their live counterparts,
firming late at about the same time. Contracts settled impressively
higher, up 92 to 142, supported by the new highs in deferred live issues
and recent strength in the cash index. Popping back over 150, October
closed at its highest level since July 21. CME cash feeder index: 09/14:
$149.73, up $0.27.
LEAN HOGS:
Lean
hog issues closed sharply higher, up 92 to 195 in the first six
contracts. Besides late-week short-covering and profit-taking, buying
interest here seemed spurred by spillover strength from the cattle
complex. The carcass value imploded further Friday, pressured by
struggling demand for bellies, hams and loins. Pork cut-out: $77.75, off
$1.44. CME cash lean index for 09/13: $65.12, off $1.22 (DTN Projected
lean index for 09/14: $64.07, off $1.08).
MONDAY'S CASH HOG CALL:
$1-$2 lower. The cash hog trade will probably open on Monday with another round of lower bids.
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