GENERAL COMMENTS
The cash cattle trade developed Friday afternoon
with moderate volume in most areas, live and dressed sales were fully
steady with last week (i.e., $111 in the South; $175/$111 in the North).
The National hog base closed up $0.88 compared with the Prior Day
settlement ($60.00-$66.50, weighted average $64.37). From Friday to
Friday livestock futures scored the following changes: Oct LC off
$1.15; Dec LC off $0.52; Oct FC off $0.43. Nov FC off $1.93; Oct LH up
$2.65; Dec LH up $1.65. Corn futures closed .04 cents plus lower,
pressured by typical harvest pressure and isolated stories of better
than expected yields. The stock market closed significantly higher with
the Dow setting another record high. Talk of tax reform progress in the
Senate seemed to be a positive factor with the Dow advancing 165 points
and the NASDAQ gaining 23.
LIVE CATTLE
Futures closed moderately higher, up 20 to 85.
This market was supported by late-week short-covering and reports of
fully steady feedlot business. For the moment, live issues appear to be
trapped in a narrow trading range (i.e., $110-$112 basis October). The
on feed report turned out to be somewhat negative with September
placement totaling more than trade expectations: October 1 on feed up
5%; September placement up 13%; marketed in September up 3%. Beef
cut-outs: firm (Choice, $199.86 up $0.29, Select $191.14 up $0.38) on
moderate demand and light offerings (48 loads of choice cuts, 17 loads
of select cuts, 13 loads of trimmings, 24 loads of coarse grinds).
MONDAY'S CASH CATTLE CALL:
Steady. Monday's activity will be limited to the
distribution of new showlists, we expect ready numbers to be about
steady with this week's offering.
FEEDER CATTLE:
Futures closed moderately higher, up 12 to 82.
Feeder contracts followed the general pattern set in the live market.
Besides the premium status of deferred live contracts, feeders were also
supported by lower corn business and the premium of the cash index. CME
cash feeder index: 10/19: $154.79, off $0.29.
LEAN HOGS:
Futures closed mostly higher, up 20 to 62. Hog
contracts finished a successful week with moderate gains, boosted by a
combination of greater packer spending and firming carcass value. Note
that both December and February closed the week at the highest levels
seen since mid-August. Given that cash sales have been unusually strong
for October, the big question going forward is how much higher packer
spending will develop. Note that the weekly hog slaughter closed below
2.5 million for the first time in weeks. Pork cut-out: $75.50 (FOB
Plant) up $1.18. CME cash lean 10/18: $63.34, up $1.13 (DTN Projected
lean index for 10/19: $64.21, up $0.87).
MONDAYS CASH HOG CALL:
$1 higher. Look for hog buyers to start out on
Monday with firm bids, concerned about both relatively tight supplies
and appreciating carcass value.
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