Firm buyer support is slowly but steadily
developing in cattle trade early Tuesday morning. This is helping to
pull markets away from strong market lows seen last week. The overall
lack of follow through pressure seen after losses in the last couple of
weeks could help to build additional incentive to stabilize prices.
Overall trade through the week is likely to remain sluggish in all
markets, but this may still keep markets volatile. Corn futures are
lower in light trade. Stock market futures are mixed, Dow Jones is 5
points higher while Nasdaq is down 37 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Open: Steady to 50 cents higher. Moderate buyer
activity is moving into live cattle trade during early week activity.
The initial support in the complex is offsetting aggressive pressure
seen late last week that continues to shift prices at or below $120 per
cwt over the last week. It is uncertain just how much market depth that
traders will be able to establish early Tuesday, but the initial move in
all nearby contracts has helped to spark additional support through the
complex. Cash cattle activity is expected to remain quiet early Tuesday
morning as both sides are trying to step back to the plate following
the Christmas weekend. The winter blast that has moved through much of
the Midwest has created some concern of moving cattle and may limit the
activity levels early in the week. Initial inventory and show list
distribution will be the main order of business Tuesday with most active
trade likely to be pushed to the last half of the week. Open interest
Friday added 676 positions (331,025). Spot December lost 434 positions
(2,016) and February contracts fell 672 positions (120,608). DTN
projected slaughter for Tuesday is 114,000 head.
FEEDER CATTLE:
Open: Steady to 60 cents higher. Light but firm
buyer support is slowly stepping back into the feeder cattle complex
Tuesday morning. Traders have seemed to take a break from the aggressive
triple digit losses seen last week as a combination of short covering
and post-holiday commercial support is slowly stepping into the market
during Tuesday trade. This could bring additional support back to the
market, but given the volatility of the complex. There may be some
additional uncertainty over the near future. Cash lean index for 12/21
is listed at $149.92, down 0.28. Open interest Friday lost 413 positions
(53,038).
LEAN HOGS:
Open: Mixed. Narrow trade ranges are developing
early Tuesday morning as traders step back into the market following the
long holiday weekend. The focus on narrow gains in front month February
futures is being offset by sluggish 10 to 25 cent per cwt losses in the
rest of the complex with trader activity extremely light during the
initial minutes of trade. This may limit additional activity through
most of the morning. Cash bids are steady to $1 per cwt higher. Most
bids are steady to 50 cents higher. Open interest Friday added 1,441
positions (228,854). Spot month February fell 328 positions (86,924) and
April added 755 positions (60,697). Cash lean index for 12/21 is
$61.76, down 0.24. DTN projected slaughter for Tuesday is 372,000 head.
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