Pressure is seen in all livestock markets with
aggressive triple-digit losses in feeder cattle markets leading the
complex lower. Although trade is still sluggish, the overall lack of
follow-through buying activity may bring additional uncertainty to the
market. Corn prices are higher in light trade. March corn futures are
1/4 cent higher Friday. Stock markets are mixed in light trade. The Dow
Jones is 54 points lower while Nasdaq is up 24 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Narrow to moderate losses have developed across
the live cattle futures. There is likely to be some additional market
shifts seen in the last couple hours of trade, although most traders may
focus on increased trade volume over the next couple of weeks. The
strong gains seen earlier in the week has also put more emphasis on the
desire and need to spark some additional trade volume and square
positions before the weekend. Cash cattle sales are still undeveloped
Friday, although trade still needs to be done before either side can
call it a week. This may add to the uncertainty in futures trade as
packers are unwilling to aggressively increase bids at this point. Live
bids are seen at $118 in the North and South, while dressed bids are
holding at $192 to $194 per cwt. Asking prices are seen at $124 and
higher live and $195 to $197 dressed basis. Boxed Beef cut-outs at
midday are lower, $0.48 lower (select) and down $0.58 per cwt (choice)
with light movement of 67 total loads reported (41 loads of choice cuts,
12 loads of select cuts, 9 loads of trimmings, 6 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
Triple-digit losses have quickly developed
across the complex late Friday morning. The inability to bring back the
buyer support seen over the past two trading sessions has created
underlying position taking with nearby contracts holding losses of $1 to
$1.30 per cwt. The follow through weakness seen in live cattle markets
through the morning may continue to add softness to the entire cattle
trade, and push feeder cattle futures even lower.
LEAN HOGS:
Mixed trade is seen midday Friday with traders
focusing on the overall lack of buyer support willing to move into the
market. There is growing support for market stability in deferred
contracts, while the weakness that has moved into the cattle trade is
starting to erode overall market gains through the rest of the trading
session. February futures are trading 75 cents per cwt lower with the
rest of the market stuck in a narrow range. Cash prices are higher on
the National Direct morning cash hog report. The weighted average price
is up $0.13 at $69.84 per cwt with the range from $63.50 to $71.50 on
5,243 head reported sold. Cash prices are higher on the Iowa/Minnesota
Direct morning cash hog report. The weighted average price is up $0.02
at $69.90 per cwt with the range from $66.50 to $71.50 on 2,695 head
reported sold. The National Pork Plant Report posted 146 loads selling
with carcass values adding $0.19 per cwt. Lean hog index for 1/17 is at
$73.55 up $0.56 with a projected two-day index of $73.67, up $0.12.
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