Firm follow-through gains are seen through lean hog futures following the aggressive limit gains that developed Thursday. The tone of the market remains bullish as traders extend gains off of recent long-term lows. Cattle markets remain mixed in a narrow to moderate trading range with little new market direction developing Friday. Corn markets are lower in light trade activity. September corn futures are 2 cents lower. Stock markets are mixed in active trade. The Dow Jones is 53 points higher while Nasdaq is down 24 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Moderate market moved are seen in live cattle
trade with nearby contracts trading steady to 50 cents higher, while
deferred contracts are trading steady to 20 cents per cwt lower. The
overall lack of support in deferred markets has limited the overall
support through the entire complex late in the week. Traders are also
focusing on the lack of cash market support in the market, which could
leave prices unable to shift higher in the near future. Cash cattle
trade is starting to develop in the North with dressed trade of $173 per
cwt seen through the morning. This is generally $2.50 per cwt lower
than last week. With early sales little changed from bids seen earlier
in the week, it indicates that the market tone has weakened, leaving
other markets uncertain through the rest of the day. Bids remain at $108
live basis, as more interest is expected through the rest of the day.
Boxed Beef cut-outs at midday are higher, $0.23 higher (select) and up
$2.20 per cwt (choice) with light movement of 58 total loads reported
(27 loads of choice cuts, 11 loads of select cuts, 8 loads of trimmings,
13 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
Light trade has developed in cattle futures
Friday morning with feeder cattle trade focusing on limited volume, but
helping to sustain the underlying buyer support that has developed
through the week. Prices are mixed from 27 cents per cwt lower to 25
cents per cwt higher. This may add some additional underlying activity
to the complex early next week, but traders seem to be content with
allowing prices to coast into the weekend, given the narrowly mixed
trading range Friday morning.
LEAN HOGS:
Firm gains have continued to develop across the
lean hog complex. This is adding overall support to the entire complex
although there is some disappointment suspected through the market that
prices are not able to continue on the aggressive path higher following
limit gains Thursday. But the limited volume seen Friday is also keeping
most traders unwilling to quickly step back into the market before the
weekend break. Cash prices are lower on the National Direct morning cash
hog report. The weighted average price is down $0.86 at $40.52 per cwt
with the range from $39.00 to $42.00 on 3,784 head reported sold. Cash
prices are lower on the Iowa/Minnesota Direct morning cash hog report.
The weighted average price is down $1.86 at $39.69 per cwt with the
range from $39.00 to $41.50 on 566 head reported sold. The National Pork
Plant Report posted a total of 135 loads selling with cutout values
gaining $0.28 per cwt at $68.77 per cwt in the morning report. Lean hog
index for 8/15 is at $54.21 down 1.02 with a projected two-day index of
$52.94, down 1.27.
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