Friday, April 24, 2020

Friday Midday Livestock Market Summary - Feeling Optimistic

General Comments

Heading into the noon hour cattle contracts are trying to develop some support and look to catch up with the lean hog contracts progression but have encountered some mild resistance along the way. July corn is down 4 1/2 cents per bushel and July soybean meal is down $0.20. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 20.84 points and NASDAQ is up 27.19 points.

LIVE CATTLE
Live cattle contracts have traded on both sides of steady Friday morning but eager to close the week out higher, nonetheless. June live cattle are down $0.12 at $82.80, August live cattle are up $0.60 at $89.05 and October live cattle are up $0.92 at $94.47. As far as cash cattle trade goes, it looks as if the heart of this week's trade could be essentially done except for a little bit of clean up here and there. There has been some light trade in Texas for $95, $10 lower than last week's weighted average. On Thursday Northern cattle sold for $148 to $160 and live for $95 to $100. There was also some light trade reported in the South for $100.

Friday afternoon's release of the Cattle on Feed Report is drawing a lot of attention as the placement figure is estimated around 80.7%, ranging a vast 54.6% to 86.1%. The report is released at 2:00pm (CST).

Boxed beef prices are higher: choice up $5.32 ($289.61) and select up $4.29 ($277.18) with a movement of 35 loads (14.29 loads of choice, 3.56 loads of select, 7.65 loads of trim and 9.31 loads of ground beef).

FEEDER CATTLE
The bulk of feeder cattle contracts are trying to trade higher and thus far have managed to rally $0.05 to $0.50. The morning has pressured the complex's vigor as contract have been pushed lower a couple of times. May feeders are up $0.12 at $117.40, August feeders are up $0.22 at $126.60 and September feeders are up $0.47 at $127.97.

LEAN HOGS
July and July lean hog contracts may be scaling slightly lower but for the most part the lean hog complex is carrying on, trading modestly higher. June lean hogs are down $0.12 at $51.55, July lean hogs are down $0.10 at $54.27 and August lean hogs are up $0.65 at $58.52. The cash market wasn't able to rally Friday morning but given the current packing plant situation, that's to be expected.

The projected lean hog index for 4/22/2020 is up $0.92 at $46.28, and the actual index for 4/21/2020 is up $0.59 at $45.36. Hog prices are lower on the National Direct Afternoon Hog Report, down $1.00 with a weighted average of $33.73, ranging from $31.00 to $35.00 on 4,416 head sold and five-day rolling average of $32.76. Pork cutouts total 200.90 loads with 175.42 loads of pork cuts and 25.47 loads of trim. Pork cutouts values: down $3.81, $72.56.


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