Thursday, May 21, 2020

Thursday Midday Livestock Market Summary - Livestock Contracts Trade Lukewarm

General Comments
As the complex moves gingerly, the indecisive nature of this week has each complex toying with the idea of trading higher in various ranges throughout each contract, but not enough substantial support has developed to allow the market to take off and trade fully higher. July corn is down 1 3/4 cents per bushel and July soybean meal is down $3.30. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 55.65 points and NASDAQ is down 51.13 points.

LIVE CATTLE
As the day progresses the live cattle complex continues to trade higher and warm up as more time goes on, and if more cash cattle trade can develop Thursday afternoon -- the support needed for the nearby contracts to push closer to $100 may be there. June live cattle are up $0.10 at $98.50, August live cattle are up $0.20 at $97.82 and October live cattle are down $0.10 at $99.52. Some cash cattle trade has developed in Colorado at $117, but the rest of the country is pretty quiet. Asking prices are around $120 to $125 in the South, and $190 to $195 in the North.

Boxed beef prices are lower: choice down $2.16 ($401.88) and select down $6.37 ($384.81) with a movement of 64 loads (37.55 loads of choice, 8.47 loads of select, zero loads of trim and 18.43 loads of ground beef).

FEEDER CATTLE
The feeder cattle complex is unenthused with the day and trades mostly lower. August feeder cattle are down $0.10 at $128.90, September feeder cattle are down $0.45 at $130.05 and October feeders are down $0.45 at $131.02. As the live cattle contracts continue to build, the feeder cattle contracts may follow in their shadow once the complex sees that the opportunity is there and able to be capitalized on throughout the afternoon.

LEAN HOGS
The lean hog index is seeing some support develop in nearby contracts while the deferred contracts trade moderately lower still. June lean hogs are up $2.07 at $58.95, July lean hogs are up $1.20 at $56.95 and August lean hogs are up $0.57 at $55.12. The hog industry has its eye on the retail sector and sees that with beef prices jumping to astronomical levels that there are customers to be gained as many don't want to pay the exponentially higher prices for beef.

The projected lean hog index for 5/20/2020 is down $1.39 at $64.59 and the actual index for 5/19/2020 is down $1.06 at $65.98. Hog prices are lower on the National Direct Morning Hog Report -- down $0.68 with a weighted average of $32.27, ranging from $33.00 to $39.00 on 4,245 head and a five-day rolling average of $36.79. Pork cutouts total 173.14 loads with 139.66 loads of pork cuts and 33.48 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: down $0.09, $99.83.


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