GENERAL COMMENTS:
It
was a busy week for the livestock complex as the board was rearing to
trade higher through some contracts, the cash market was higher for both
cash cattle and feeders and the lean hog complex even secured higher
prices for the week on both the board and the cutout value. Heading into
next week, the market is going to fight some pressure as this week was
determined to only trade higher. Hog prices were higher on the National
Direct Afternoon Hog Report, up $0.09 with a weighted average $37.60 on
6,466 head. October lean hogs are up $0.68 at $53.025, December corn is
down 3/4 cent per bushel and December soybean meal is down $0.20. The
Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 34.30 points and NASDAQ is down 23.20
points.
From Friday to Friday, livestock
futures scored the following changes: August live cattle up $4.80,
October live cattle up $3.78; August feeder cattle up $1.20, September
feeder cattle up $1.45; August lean hogs up $2.83, October lean hogs up
$2.05.
LIVE CATTLE:
The
live cattle market had a powerhouse week! The board closed higher
throughout most of the week, boxed beef prices scaled higher and cash
cattle trade was on fire. Friday's board fought some last-minute
pressure, but for the most part the complex closed steady to slightly
higher. August live cattle closed $0.55 higher at $107.60, October live
cattle closed $0.07 stronger at $110.22 and December live cattle closed
steady at $112.82. Cash cattle trade was higher throughout the week with
southern cattle selling for $104 to $105, which was fully $4.00 to
$5.00 higher than last week's average. The nail-biting trade came Friday
morning when the North had yet to sell any cattle. But around Friday's
noon hour, cattle sold and prices market $168, which was $5.00 higher.
Friday's slaughter is estimated at 112,000 head, up 3,000 head from the
previous week and down 3,000 head from a year ago. Saturday's slaughter
is projected to be 63,000 head.
Boxed beef
prices closed higher: choice up $3.29 ($214.24) and select up $1.88
($199.29) with a movement of 126 loads (71.91 loads of choice, 22.10
loads of select, 15.18 loads of trim and 16.82 loads of ground beef).
MONDAY'S
CASH CATTLE CALL: Slightly higher. As boxed beef prices scaled higher,
having more confidence in next week's cash market is easier to do
knowing that a three-day weekend is right around the corner. Packers
will be eager to move product as prices are inching higher and knowing
all too well that Labor Day is their last big grilling holiday.
FEEDER CATTLE:
Feeder
cattle contracts rallied relentlessly early in the week, but as
Wednesday closed the market felt upward resistance building and closed
lower both Thursday and Friday. Next week both Superior Livestock
Auction and Western Video Market are hosting two phenomenal, early fall
feeder cattle specials. The board was fully supported through the feeder
cattle sales this week, but with next week's large volume of calves and
feeders to trade -- if technical support allows for it -- the complex
could move even higher. August feeders closed $1.02 lower at $143.92,
September feeders closed $0.80 lower at $146.57 and October feeders
closed $1.05 lower at $147.42.
Nebraska's
weekly livestock auction shared that, compared to last week, steers from
500 to 800 pounds sold $5.00 to $9.00 higher and steers over 800 pounds
sold unevenly steady. Heifers under 900 pounds sold $7.00 to $10.00
higher and heifers over 900 pounds sold fully steady. Most buyers this
time of year like procuring yearlings off summer grass as the
cattle should perform in the feedlot with good compensatory gains. The CME feeder cattle index 8/13/2020: up $0.15, $142.25.
LEAN HOGS:
The
lean hog complex was lagging early in the week but kicked it into high
gear for Thursday and Friday's trade to close the week higher. August
lean hogs closed $0.12 higher at $53.82, October lean hogs closed $0.67
higher at $53.02 and December lean hogs closed $0.27 higher at $54.62.
If packers are able to move more product and get paid more for the meat,
their willingness to buy hogs (and to even buy hogs for more money) is
beneficial to producers as they have the opportunity to not only move
hogs, but for potentially higher prices. A lot of the strength in the
cutout value is coming from pre-Labor Day buying, so watching how prices
carry after the three-day holiday will be important. Pork cutouts
totaled 357.55 loads with 290.53 loads of pork cuts and 67.02 loads of
trim. Pork cutout values: up $1.17, $74.93. Friday's slaughter is
estimated at 472,000 head, down 2,000 head from the previous week and
18,000 head more than a year ago. Saturday's slaughter is projected to
be around 219,000 head. The CME lean hog index 8/12/2020: down $0.34,
$53.48.
MONDAY'S CASH HOG CALL: Slightly
higher. With Friday's stronger close on the board and higher close for
cutout prices, the market could see some higher bids through Monday's
trade as packers are preparing for Labor Day.
#completecalfcare |
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