GENERAL COMMENTS
Given moderate trade volume on Wednesday and
Thursday, cattle buyers didn't find it necessary to do much shopping
Friday. Besides a few scattered sales in several states, the late-week
trade was pretty much at a standstill. The National hog base closed off
$0.40 compared with the Prior Day settlement ($81.00-$87.50, weighted
average $86.40). From Friday to Friday livestock futures scored the
following changes: Aug LC Up $3.03; Oct LC up $4.75; Aug FC Up $9.25;
Sep FC Up $9.05; Jul LH Up $0.88; Aug LH Off $3.32. Corn futures closed
generally six cents higher, supported by late week profit-taking and
general production uncertainty. The stock market closed higher with the
Dow off 84 points and the NASDAQ better by 38.
LIVE CATTLE
Futures closed higher, up 25 to 82. Moderate
gains Friday were supported by short-covering and the reality of cash
premiums. After bouncing off 100-day moving averages last week, live
contracts managed to rally back toward the highs of June this week. In
fact, October and December were successful in closing above 40-day
moving averages on Friday. On the other hand, spot August will start
next week facing overhead resistance near its 40-day moving average near
119.00. Beef cut-outs: weak to lower (Choice, $209.35 off $0.50, Select
$195.42 off $1.84) on light to moderate demand and heavy offerings (74
loads of choice cuts, 55 loads of select cuts, 11 loads of trimmings, 19
loads of coarse grinds).
MONDAY'S CASH CATTLE CALL: Steady to $2.00
higher. Activity on Monday will be limited to the distribution of new
showlists. We expect the offering to be steady to somewhat larger.
Initial asking prices will probably be around $122-plus in the South and
$192-plus in the North
FEEDER CATTLE
Futures closed sharply higher, up 110 to 257.
Feeders experienced a very successful week, consistently outperforming
their live counterparts. Most contracts closed near the highs of early
June and well above 40-day moving averages. The slide in corn prices
proved to be supportive with the promise of lower costs of gain. CME
cash feeder index: 07/13: $149.74, off $1.00.
LEAN HOGS
Futures closed mostly lower to sharply lower, up
22 to off 262. Despite the fact that soon-to-be-spot August (July
expires on Monday) lags far behind the cash index, the late-summer
contract continues to attract fairly aggressive selling interest. It
would appear that both specs and commercials are beginning to anticipate
a major shift toward greater seasonal production. Note that August
finished the week below its 40-day moving average. Pork cut-out: $104.48
(FOB Plant) up $0.81. CME cash lean 07/12: $92.84, up $0.09 (DTN
Projected lean index for 07/13: $92.78, off $0.06).
MONDAY'S CASH HOG CALL: Steady. Cash hog buyers should resume procurement chores on Monday with basically steady bids.
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