Strong market shifts higher in the cattle market
has helped to draw buyer support back into the complex. This has pushed
feeder cattle gains to triple-digit gains with live cattle markets
pushing gains to 50 to 90 cents per cwt. Firm losses continue to hold in
hog markets based on overall lack of activity. Corn prices are higher
in light trade. July corn futures are 8 cents higher. Stock markets are
higher in light trade. The Dow Jones is 43 points higher while Nasdaq is
up 26 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Live cattle futures have quickly moved from a
narrowly mixed market range to firm gains midday Friday based on strong
triple-digit gains that flooded the feeder cattle complex. This helped
to draw buyer support back into the complex and push nearby gains from
50 to 90 cents per cwt at midday. The lack of selling pressure and focus
on end of the week positioning is the main focus of trade activity
during late day moves. Cash cattle markets are quiet Friday morning
following light to moderate trade Thursday which was seen at $190
dressed basis and $120 live basis. It is expected that packers and
feeders will be done for the week, and willing to hold out until next
week as they look for additional direction in futures markets as well as
outside market shifts. Beef cut-outs at midday are lower, $1.86 lower
(select) and down $0.60 per cwt (choice) with moderate movement of 85
total loads reported (51 loads of choice cuts, 21 loads of select cuts, 1
load of trimmings, 11 loads of ground beef).
Feeder Cattle:
Moderate buyer support has quickly moved back
into the feeder cattle futures complex midday Friday. This is breaking
away from the mixed price levels seen across the complex and trade
inactivity seen during most of the morning. Triple-digit gains have now
developed, based more on lack of seller interest in late morning. This
could help to spark some increased strong end-of-week support through
the entire cattle market through the week, although the volatility that
this may lead to could bring some uncertainty early next week.
LEAN HOGS:
Strong market pressure has developed across the
lean hog futures complex with traders focusing on overall end of the
week pressure in all lean hog futures markets as well as underlying
softness in cash trade which is creating uncertainty in the market. This
is most evident in August and October contracts, holding triple digit
losses during morning trade. Trade volume has been extremely light
through most of the morning, which is expected to limit additional price
direction, but this could bring about additional market activity early
next week. Cash prices are lower on the National Direct morning cash hog
report. The weighted average price fell $0.54 at $86.26 per cwt with
the range from $81.00 to $87.50 on 4,664 head reported sold. Cash prices
are lower on the Iowa/Minnesota Direct morning cash hog report. The
weighted average price fell $0.43 at $87.33 per cwt with the range from
$82.00 to $87.50 on 2,085 head reported sold. The National Pork Plant
Report reported 128 loads selling with prices adding $1.20 per cwt. Lean
hog index for 7/12 is at $92.84 up $0.09 with a projected two-day index
of $92.78, down $0.06.
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