GENERAL
COMMENTS: Strong pressure developed throughout livestock trade following
continued weakness in lean hog futures Monday. Cattle trade softened on
increased placements in February. Cash cattle activity was undeveloped
following generally smaller trade levels late last week. Bids and asking
prices were not available and may not be active until midweek. Showlist
distribution and inventory-taking were the main activities Monday.
Showlists appear generally larger. Offerings increased in Nebraska,
Colorado and Kansas, but decreased in Texas. It is likely to be the last
half of the week again before active trade develops. The National Daily
Direct afternoon hog report was $2.55 higher ($60-$74, weighted average
$68.82) on 7,248 head sold. Corn futures were higher in light activity
with May up 1 1/2 cents per bushel. The Dow Jones Index was 14 points
higher while the Nasdaq was down 5 points.
LIVE CATTLE: Nearby live cattle futures saw
triple-digit losses Monday. Overall, futures closed $0.40 to $2.35
lower. All spring and summer contracts were $2 per cwt lower at closing
bell. The softness in feeder cattle trade, combined with an increased
number of cattle on feed, added uncertainty to the market, which already
seemed to be teetering toward a pullback. Additional softness could be
seen throughout the cattle complex, although live cattle futures are
expected to hover within the same sideways pattern seen over the last
couple of months. Beef cut-outs: mixed, up $0.09 (select, $218.73) to
down $0.09 (choice, $229.09) with light demand and light-to-moderate
offerings of 109 loads (70 loads of choice cuts, 17 loads of select
cuts, 6 load of trimmings, 16 loads of coarse grinds).
TUESDAY'S CASH CATTLE CALL: Steady. Limited
interest is expected Tuesday with bids and asking prices most likely not
seen until Wednesday or later.
FEEDER CATTLE: The feeder cattle market was also
under pressure Monday as traders focused on increased cattle
placements. Futures closed $0.82 to $2.60 lower. Though the market was
generally steady through most of the morning, strong pressure developed
late in the day as traders focused on larger-than-expected placements
and the pullback in lean hog trade. This pushed most contracts to
triple-digit losses. CME cash feeder index for 3/21 is $141.02, up
$1.90.
LEAN HOGS: Traders tried to find some stability
in the lean hogs market, resulting in a mixed close of $1.45 lower to
$$0.32 higher. Strong buyer support was seen early as traders moved back
into the complex, but the support slowly eroded as deferred losses
became more evident. Although the lean hog trade is expected to firm
through the end of the spring and summer and growing pork demand is
likely to firm cash markets, traders are quickly pulling back from
previously aggressive gains. Wholesale pork values saw triple-digit
gains in most primal cuts. Pork cutout values added $2.41 per cwt,
moving to $80.20 per cwt on 243 loads. CME cash lean index for 3/20 is
$60.75, up $1.53. DTN Projected lean index for 3/21 $62.41, up $1.66.
TUESDAY'S CASH HOG CALL: Steady to $2 higher.
Moderate-to-firm bids are expected again Tuesday morning with most bids
$1 to $1.50 per cwt higher as continued cash buying develops. Tuesday
slaughter is expected at 477,000 head.
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