GENERAL COMMENTS
Moderate cattle trading developed in several
states with greater packer spending especially noted in Nebraska and
Kansas. For example, a decent number of live sales in Nebraska were
marked at $122, roughly $6 lower than last week's weighted average. At
about the same time, better business surfaced in Kansas at $120, $2 to
$3 higher than last week's weighted average in that state. The National
hog base closed up $0.59 compared with the Prior Day settlement
($44-$53, weighted average $50.06). From Friday to Friday, livestock
futures scored the following changes: Apr LC up $4.33; Jun LC up $1.33;
May FC up $4.75; Aug FC up $3.65; Apr LH up $1.70; May LH up $5.23. Corn
futures settled 2 to 3 cents lower, apparently oblivious to any
planting worries despite forecasts of a major snowstorm this weekend for
the Western Corn Belt, as well as cool temperatures and wet conditions
for next week over a broader area. The stock market closed lower with
the Dow off 122 points and the Nasdaq down 33.
LIVE CATTLE
Futures closed mostly higher, up 80 to off 15.
Supported by the first signs of decent cash strength seen since
mid-March, spot April closed at its highest level since March 22.
Nevertheless, it will still start next week $5 to $6 below the best of
country business reported Friday. Beef cutouts: steady on choice and
lower on select (choice $212.61, up $0.13; select $199.91, off $0.76) on
light-to-moderate demand and offerings (63 loads of choice cuts, 22
loads of select cuts, 07 loads of trimmings, 15 loads of coarse grinds).
MONDAY'S CASH CATTLE CALL:
Steady to $1 higher. Monday's action will be
typically slow as buyers and sellers focus on the distribution of new
showlists. We expect ready numbers to total about steady with this week.
FEEDER CATTLE:
Futures closed mostly higher, up 70 to off 30.
Feeder issues were once again supported by firming action in deferred
live futures. Note that spot April closed nearly $3 above the cash
index. This market may have also gained some support by the lackluster
tone of the corn market. CME cash feeder index: 04/12: $136.42, up
$0.66.
LEAN HOGS:
Futures closed mostly higher, up 40 to off 47.
Spot April expired Friday at 53.82, somewhat above the latest projected
cash index. Although May will technically become the spot month on
Monday, traders will probably focus more on the performance of the June
contract since May tends to be so lightly traded. June will start out on
Monday nearly $24 above the April expiration. While such a seasonal
premium is not all that unusual, the early summer contract will probably
make traders more than a little nervous as they watch for improving
supply and demand fundamentals. Pork cutout: $66.33 (FOB Plant) up
$0.27. CME cash lean 04/11: $52.97, off $0.05 (DTN Projected lean index
for 04/12: $53.23, up $0.26.
MONDAY'S CASH HOG CALL:
Steady to $1 higher. Hog buyers are expected to
resume work on Monday with steady/firm bids. It's that time of year when
market hog numbers should begin to consistently grow smaller.
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