Moderate to strong gains have quickly moved back
into all livestock trade Friday morning. The continued movement in live
cattle futures is focusing on the underlying support in cash cattle
trade developing during the week with increased long-term support
sparked that cattle supplies are expected to tighten over the coming
months. Hog futures has regained previous week momentum, although
current volume remains extremely limited at this point. Corn prices are
lower in limited early trade. Stock markets are mixed. Dow Jones is 20
points higher with NASDAQ down 38 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Open: 40 to 80 cents higher. Strong underlying
support is moving into live cattle trade. Although limited moves may
continue to develop through the end of the week as prices have backed
away from initial market moves, the focus will be driven as increased
cash cattle trade is seen. Cash cattle trade is starting to develop
early Friday morning following trade in the North Thursday which pushed
prices higher. Limited to moderate trade is reported in Texas Friday
morning at $103 per cwt. This is $2 per cwt higher than last week, and
confirms price gains in both North and South for the week. It is likely
that the current trade may be able to set the tone for the rest of the
week with prices $2 to $3 per cwt higher. Open interest Thursday fell 68
positions (323,813). Spot month October contracts fell 2,705 positions
(41,254) and December contracts slipped 218 positions (140,440). DTN
projected slaughter for Friday is 116,000 head.
FEEDER CATTLE:
Open: Steady to 60 cents higher. Light buyer
support has slowly returned to the feeder cattle complex. The underlying
support in live cattle trade has helped to spark additional follow
through momentum in feeder cattle trade. This may bring additional
bullish market momentum through the end of the week, despite limited
overall volume expected through the end of the week. Cash index for 9/25
is $141.13, up 1.10. Open interest Thursday fell 659 positions
(45,043).
LEAN HOGS:
Open: Steady to $1 Higher. Moderate to firm
gains have quickly flooded into lean hog futures with spot month October
contracts leading the complex higher with 80 cent gains. The focus on
continued buyer support based on long term buying from China has
redeveloped despite a slow couple of days, but the expectations of
continued sales to China over the near future is expected to develop
over the near future. Cash hog trade is called steady to $1 higher. Bids
are evenly scattered through the range. Open interest added 901
positions (260,840). October fell 1,259 positions (22,554) and December
added 681 positions (100,634). Cash lean index for 9/25 is $54.72 up
0.05. DTN projected slaughter for Friday is 485,000 head. Saturday runs
have increased to 287,000 head.
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