GENERAL
COMMENTS: Moderate cash cattle trading finally surfaced leading into the
Christmas break with most live deals marked at $119, generally steady
with last week. A few scattered dressed transactions were turned in Iowa
and Nebraska, steady/firm with last Friday. According to the closing
report, the national hog base is $0.56 lower compared with the Prior Day
settlement ($40-$45.14, weighted average $44.07). Spot March corn
closed up 3 1/4 cents, a modest rebound from Thursday's implosion,
albeit on lighter volume that put prices down 6 1/4 cents for the week.
Like several commodities, corn price was influenced this week by outside
markets and investor nervousness in general as the Dow Jones
Industrials fell to new lows for the year. Ending its worst week in 10
years, the Dow settled 421 points lower. The Nasdaq lost 195.
LIVE CATTLE: Live futures settled on a mixed
basis (i.e., mostly up 62 cents to off 17 cents) with nearbys gaining on
deferreds. The front end was somewhat supported by reports of generally
steady examples of feedlot business. Beef cut-outs closed significantly
higher with the choice up $1.58 ($214.05) and select up $2.24
($207.50). Box demand was called moderate to good with light offerings.
MONDAY'S CASH CATTLE CALL: Steady to $1 higher.
Monday activity is always slow, limited to fed supply assessment. But
the pre-holiday reality will make early week doings especially
lackluster.
FEEDER CATTLE: Action here was paint-drying slow
with many commercials and specs already gone for the holiday.
Settlements were narrowly mixed, up 7 to off 17 cents. CME cash feeder
Index for 12/20: $145.89, up $0.15.
LEAN HOGS: It turned out to be one of those
late-week sessions where the start was better than the finish. Lean
contracts traded higher in the early going, but long liquidation soon
surfaced. Also pushing futures down were the results of the monthly cold
storage report, which said that frozen pork supplies were down 11% from
the previous month but up 1% from last year. The situation was
particularly dire for pork bellies, with supply up 38% from last month
and 5% from last year. Once the limited dust settled, lean settlements
landed on a mixed basis, up 45 cents to off $1.25. Spot February caught
the most selling interest. Carcass value closed moderately higher,
supported by better demand for all primals except hams and bellies. The
cut-out totaled $71.32, up $0.73. (DTN Projected lean index for CME cash
lean index for 12/20: $53.87, off $0.78) CME cash lean index for 12/19:
$54.65, off $0.35.
MONDAY'S CASH HOG CALL: Steady to $1 lower. With
many plants dark for the holiday, early week buying interest will no
doubt be very limited.
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