GENERAL
COMMENTS: Northern cattle buying interest was light to moderate Friday
afternoon, with some bids hiked as much as $192-$195, but still
generally below asking prices of $195 plus. The spread between bids and
asking prices remains even wider in the South (i.e., $122 bid versus
$123-$125 asked). In short, we're still waiting for even minimal trade
volume to develop. Such a vigil could take us into late afternoon or
early evening. The national hog carcass base closed $0.26 higher
($41-$45.50, weighted average, $45.17). March corn closed up a penny,
narrowing this week's loss to 3 cents through the holiday period of
lackluster trading. The stock market closed mixed with the Dow off 76
points and the Nasdaq up 5.
LIVE CATTLE: Expiring spot December live closed
sharply higher (up $1.15) while the rest of the complex advanced more
moderately (up 12 to 40 cents). Helping both December and February push
and hold over $124 were fears that a long stretch of adverse winter
weather could significant curtail first-quarter beef production. Beef
cut-outs closed mixed with the choice box off $0.89 ($214.41) and its
select counterpart up by $0.30 ($207.52). Wholesale demand offerings
were called "light to moderate."
MONDAY'S CASH CATTLE CALL: Steady to $1 higher.
Activity on Monday will be limited to fed supply assessment as packers
gather new showlists across the feeding area.
FEEDER CATTLE: Feeder issues closed the week on a
mixed basis, up 22 cents to off 10 cents. Not many trading features to
identify here. Volume was very thin with neither side eager to make
their case. CME cash feeder Index for 12/27: $147.26, up $0.06.
LEAN HOGS. With the exception of a modest
advance in spot February (up 17 cents), lean hog futures settled
moderately lower with prices ranging from 7 to 25 cents lower. Chain
speed (467,000) recovered from weather problems seen on Thursday, but
still lagged behind last week. Carcass value held generally steady
Friday with higher loins and hams offsetting lower bellies and picnics.
The pork cut-out for 12/28 totaled $70.46, up $0.02. (DTN Projected lean
index for CME cash lean index for 12/27: $53.11, down $0.01) CME cash
lean index for 12/26: $53.12, off $0.20.
MONDAY'S CASH HOG CALL: Steady to $1 lower. The
early week cash hog market is expected to open with bids steady to $1
lower. We'll probably see another large Saturday kill following New
Year's as well-margined processors find time to swing carcasses whenever
they can.
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