Friday, August 25, 2017

Friday Midday Livestock Market Update - Cattle Futures Holding Moderate Trade Ahead of Cattle on Feed Report

GENERAL COMMENTS:

Light to moderate support is still holding in cattle trade although buyers are unable to maintain early morning support at midday. The lack of follow-through interest in the complex is expected to dwindle support thorugh the rest of the complex, potentially limiting overall activity until closing bell Friday afternoon. Hog futures remain firmly lower as fundamental pressure remains the focus of trade. Corn prices are lower in light trade. September corn futures are 2 cents lower. Stock markets are mixed in light trade. The Dow Jones is 56 points higher while Nasdaq is down 4 points.

LIVE CATTLE:
Narrow gains are still holding across live cattle futures with nearby futures giving back triple-digit support, which developed early Friday morning. The ability to keep prices higher has more to do with the overall lack of trade volume in the market late in the week more than any other factor in the complex. Cash cattle activity remains sluggish with just a few handful of trades taking place here and there near $106 through the morning. Bids are seen at $107 live in the North and $105 in the South, although it appears the lion's share of trade seems to be done, even though overall trade volume seems to have been light to moderate at best earlier in the week. Beef cut-outs at midday are mixed, $0.79 higher (select) and down $0.23 per cwt (choice) with moderate movement of 94 total loads reported (48 loads of choice cuts, 13 loads of select cuts, 23 loads of trimmings, 10 loads of ground beef).

FEEDER CATTLE:
Firm gains are holding in several feeder cattle futures, although the ability to sustain early buyer support has quickly eroded. August contracts have given back all of morning support with a 5 cent loss seen at midday. Traders continue to focus on the upcoming cattle on feed report which will be released after the close of the market Friday and is expected to post increased cattle placements as of August 1st. This may create increased strong pressure early next week, but for now, the lack of trade activity seems to be holding buyer support in the market.

LEAN HOGS:
Mixed trade early in the session has been replaced with moderate to firm pressure across the complex as trades have focused on the overall lack of support in cash markets and weakening pork values at the end of the week. The continued pressure in fundamental markets has added even more softness to nearby contracts even though overall trade volume remains extremely light across the complex. Cash prices are lower on the National Direct morning cash hog report. The weighted average price fell $1.52 at $66.34 per cwt with the range from $64.00 to $68.00 on 2,986 head reported sold. Cash prices are lower on the Iowa/Minnesota Direct morning cash hog report. The weighted average price fell $2.11 at $65.88 per cwt with the range from $64.00 to $67.50 on 730 head reported sold. The National Pork Plant Report reported 128 loads selling with prices falling $0.12 per cwt. Lean hog index for 8/23 is at $79.40 down $1.09 with a projected two-day index of $78.23, down $1.17.

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