Thursday, October 11, 2018

Thursday Morning Livestock Market Summary - Livestock Trade Mixed in Limited Trade

GENERAL COMMENTS
Light buyer support is trickling into nearby livestock futures as traders focus on rebuilding a sense of stability following the aggressive losses which developed during the week. Corn markets are lower in light early trade. Stock markets are higher, Dow Jones is 22 points higher while Nasdaq is up 52 points.

LIVE CATTLE:
Open: Mixed. Light nearby buyer support is slowly trickling into the complex during the first few minutes of trade. This has posted 30-to-35-cent gains in remaining 2018 contracts, while the rest of the complex is holding narrow losses. The overall direction in the complex continues to focus on trying to build a sense of stability in nearby and deferred trade. With October futures holding just above $112 per cwt, traders seem to be finding this sense of firmness following previous market pressure. Cash cattle markets are expected to become more defined through the morning, although bids remain undeveloped at this point Thursday. The light trade that trickled into the North at $174 per cwt dressed basis may bring additional direction to the complex. Both packers and feedlot managers will closely focus on early futures activity as well as major developments in outside trade. Most cash cattle trade is expected to be pushed off until Friday, especially activity in the South. Open interest Wednesday liquidated 5,528 positions (335,962). Spot month October contracts lost 3,470 positions (14,650) and December contracts slipped 1,692 positions (125,535). DTN projected slaughter for Thursday is 119,000 head.

FEEDER CATTLE:
Open: Mixed. Light activity is seen in cattle trade following the pullback through the week. Nearby gains have slowly but steadily trickled into the complex, but the pressure in deferred markets seems to be offsetting this sense of renewed optimism. There is growing movement through the entire cattle market to try to establish market stability over the next couple of trading sessions. Cash index for 10/9 is listed at $158.38, down 0.07. Open interest Wednesday fell 421 positions (56,926).

LEAN HOGS:
Open: Mixed. Lean hog futures have traded mixed to mostly lower early Thursday morning with very limited support seen through the entire complex. December contracts are leading the complex lower with a $1.70 per cwt, and with this move have broken through September support levels. The potential for additional underlying softness develops through the rest of the week based on weakness in cash values developing. Cash hog trade Thursday is expected steady to $2 lower. Most bids are $1 to $2 Lower. Open interest Wednesday added 161 positions (228,479). Spot month October fell 1,144 positions (12,525) and December slipped 837 positions (100,580). Cash lean index for 10/9 is $69.34 up 0.01. DTN projected slaughter for Thursday is at 472,000 head. Saturday runs are expected at 166,000 head.

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