Thursday, June 11, 2020

Thursday Midday Livestock Market Summary - Scaling Lower Through Livestock Contracts

General Comments
As Thursday slowly enters into the noon hour, the livestock complex hasn't had a grand day as all three contracts are trading lower and cash cattle are developing for lower money that what even Wednesday traded for.

July corn is up 3/4 cent per bushel and July soybean meal is up $0.50. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 1,393.20 points and NASDAQ is down 360.61 points.

LIVE CATTLE
Live cattle contracts are slightly lower but may trend lower into the afternoon if cash cattle prices continue to trade lower. June live cattle are up $0.02 at $96.62, August live cattle are down $0.27 at $96.22 and October live cattle are down $0.60 at $98.80. A light round of Southern cattle have trade for $104 to $106 following Wednesday's light trade. Southern live trade on Wednesday was at $98 to mostly $108, the $108 is $4 lower than last week's weighted averages. Northern dressed deals had a full range of $165 to mostly $172, the $172 is $8 lower than last week's weighted average basis Nebraska. Thursday's asking prices are around $110 on a live basis and $175-plus dressed.

Boxed beef prices are mixed: choice up $0.86 ($236.92) and select down $1.40 ($221.44) with a movement of 112 loads (65.52 loads of choice, 10.67 loads of select, 3.25 loads of trim and 32.66 loads of ground beef).

FEEDER CATTLE
Feeder cattle contracts are having a tough day as complex endures losses greater than a $1.00 throughout the entire market. August feeders are down $1.32 at $131.30, September feeders are down $1.50 at $132.65 and October feeders are down $1.35 at $133.45. Feeder cattle contract feel as if the rug is being pulled out front under their feet as the market hopes to hold strength for the nearing specialty sales but with cash cattle prices eroding, the short-term feeder cattle market isn't looking too bright.

LEAN HOGS
Lean hog contracts are stuck in the same rut as the rest of the livestock contracts. Pressure, pressure and more pressure continues to build and there's no quick fix with weakening cash prices and a lofty back log of supply. The June lean hog contract is set to expire Friday and most traders have already moved their positions into other contracts. July lean hogs are down $0.50 at $52.30, August lean hogs are down $0.87 at $54.95 and October lean hogs are down $0.32 at $53.17.

The projected lean hog index for 6/9/2020 is down $0.61 at $51.18 and the actual index for 6/8/2020 is down $0.16 at $51.77. Hog prices are higher on the National Direct Morning Hog Report, up $0.03 with a weighted average of $30.19, ranging from $27.00 to $31.43 on 4,097 head and a five-day rolling average of $30.79. Pork cutouts total 227.31 loads with 206.19 loads of pork cuts and 21.12 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up $2.13, $70.97.



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