Monday, December 24, 2018

Monday Midday Livestock Market Summary - Limited Trade Seen Monday

General Comments
Limited trade is seen through the entire livestock market Monday during the holiday shortened trading schedules Monday. Cattle futures have trickled higher, led by steady gains in live cattle. Lean hog futures have eroded through the morning as outside market softness is adding to increased market pressure in nearby contracts. Corn markets are lower in light trade. March corn futures are 1 1/4 cent lower. Stock markets are lower in light trade. Dow Jones is 496 points lower with Nasdaq down 88 points.

LIVE CATTLE:
Very light buyer support is expected to be hold through the last hour of trade due to markets closing early Monday. With very light activity developing through the first couple hours of trade, prices have moved from narrow losses to narrow gains. The overall lack of activity is the main reason for directionless trade. Nearby contracts are holding gains from 10 to 20 cents higher with limited interest likely to be seen through rest of the day. Markets will remain closed until Wednesday morning, although trade volume through the rest of the week is likely to remain limited. Cash cattle interest is essentially non-existent Monday due to packer schedules remaining very light due to the holidays. Some of the initial show lists are expected to be delayed until Wednesday with active trade likely to be pushed off until Thursday or Friday. Boxed Beef cut-outs at midday are mixed, $1.02 higher (select) and down $0.64 per cwt (choice) with light movement of 69 total loads reported (40 loads of choice cuts, 11 loads of select cuts, 8 loads of trimmings, 10 loads of ground beef).

FEEDER CATTLE:
Trade Monday in feeder cattle futures is mixed in a very narrow range due to very limited activity ahead of the Christmas holiday. Nearby contracts are trading 2 to 10 cents per cwt lower while deferred futures are steady to 27 cents per cwt higher. This overall lack of support in the market is more based on holiday schedules than anything else early in the week. Even though more activity is likely later in the week, volume is still expected to be subdued until after the first of the year.

LEAN HOGS:
Moderate price pressure is seen through the entire complex with prices 55 to 70 cents per cwt lower at midday Monday. Trade volume remains extremely sluggish with many traders already exiting the market for the Christmas holiday. Markets will close at 12 Monday and will remain closed until Wednesday morning. This may add some additional underlying pressure through the rest of the morning with prices likely to hover in the current price ranges as the market limps toward closing bell. Cash prices are unavailable at this point. Pork carcass values are unavailable at this time. Lean hog index for 12/19 is $53.87, down 0.78, with a projected two-day index is $53.87, down 0.35.

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