Friday, August 30, 2019

Friday Closing Livestock Market Summary - Future Fall Into the Closing Bell

GENERAL COMMENTS: Cattle futures could not maintain the earlier market strength Friday, resulting in losses for the week with contracts closing near the lows. This leaves the market in a bearish sideways range. Lean hog futures followed suit as they were unable to follow-through on the strength generated this week. Friday to Friday livestock futures posted the following changes: August live cattle gained $0.38, with October down $0.48. September feeder cattle down $0.85, with October down $1.72. October lean hogs gained $4.23, with December hogs up $4.60. Cash cattle trading finished Friday at $103, down $3 from last week in the South and around $171, down $4, for last week in the North. Packers held bids at lower prices seeing no need to raise those bids due to the negative futures trade. According to the closing National Daily Direct hogs Friday afternoon report, the base price was $2.14 lower with a range of $49.00 to $57.50 and a weighted average of $55.78. Corn futures declined 1 3/4 cents. The Dow gained 41 points with the NASDAQ down 11 points.

LIVE CATTLE: Cattle futures looked very promising after early losses. However, trading during the final hour turned ugly with contracts closing lower than Thursday, and the lowest close since August 19. This certainly did not improve the outlook for next week. The August contract went off the board with October taking over posting substantial discount. Boxed beef cut-outs were mixed. Choice was $0.42 lower at $231.77 and select down $0.51 at $212.27. There were 35 loads of choice cuts, 14 loads of select cuts, 13 loads of trimmings, and 11 loads of ground beef.

TUESDAY'S CASH CATTLE CALL: Lower. Packers will be looking to for more cattle next week, but will bid lower due to the weakness of cash and futures.

FEEDER CATTLE: Triple-digit losses dominated the complex as contracts posted the lowest close since August 13. The impact of the trading after the Tyson fire has keep a very bearish grip on the market. There is very little bullishness in the market as long as cash cattle trade lower.

LEAN HOGS: The uptrend for the week remains intact, but futures could not capitalize on Thursday's strength. Thursdays gains were eliminated and them some as traders took profits for the holiday weekend. Spillover weakness came from the cattle as futures fell during the final hour of trading. Pork carcass values gained $0.75 increasing to $72.31 per cwt. The CME lean index for 8/28 is $71.24, down $1.39 with the projected two-day index for 8/29 at $69.45, down $1.79.


TUESDAY'S CASH HOG CALL: Steady to $1 Lower. A plentiful supply of hogs remain, with packers limiting bids due to weakness of cutouts. The holiday-shortened week will reduce the aggressiveness of packers.


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